Data du futur – Data of the future – Datos del futuro

SOURCES DES DONNÉES

DATA SOURCES / FUENTES DE LOS DATOS

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DES HUMAINS ET DES CHIFFRES

HUMANS AND NUMBERS / SERES HUMANOS Y CIFRAS

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Burek, P. , Satoh, Y., Fischer, G., Kahil, M.T. , Scherzer, A., Tramberend, S. , Nava, L.F. , Wada, Y. , et al., Water Futures and Solution – Fast Track Initiative (Final Report), IIASA Working Paper, Laxenburg, Austria, 2016

Equal Measures 2030, Bending the Curve Towards Gender Equality by 2030, 2020,

FAO, The future of food and agriculture – Alternative pathways to 2050, Rome, 2018, 60 pp.

Kc S. et Lutz W., The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100, Global Environmental Change, vol. 42, p. 181‑192, janv. 2017,

Lutz W., Goujon A., KC S., Stonawski M., and Stilianakis N., Demographic and Human Capital Scenarios for the 21st Century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries, EUR 29113 EN, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2018,

O’Neill B.C., Kriegler E., Riahi K. , Ebi K.L., Hallegatte S., Carter T.R., Mathur R., van Vuuren D.P., A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways, Clim. Change, vol.122, pp. 387-400, 2014,

OCDE/FAO, OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029, Éditions OCDE, Paris/FAO, Rome, 2020,

Robert-Bobée I., Projections de population 2005-2050. Vieillissement de la population en France métropolitaine, Économie et Statistique, N° 408-409, INSEE, mai 2008,

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, World Population Prospects 2019, 2020,

Vollset S. E. et al., Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study, The Lancet, vol. 396, no 10258, p. 1285‑1306, oct. 2020,

World Economic Forum, Global Gender Gap Report 2020, 2020n

WHO, Projections of mortality and causes of death, 2016 to 2060, Health statistics and information systems, 2016

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UNE PLANÈTE SUR SES RÉSERVES

A PLANET RUNNING ON FUMES / UN PLANETA USANDO LA RESERVA

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BP, Statistical Review of World Energy 2020, 69th edition, juin 2020, disponible sur :

Elshkaki A., Graedel T.E., Ciacci L., et Reck B.K., Resource Demand Scenarios for the Major Metals, Environ. Sci. Technol., vol. 52, no 5, p. 2491‑2497, mars 2018,

Elshkaki A., Lei S., et Chen W.-Q., Material-energy-water nexus: Modelling the long term implications of aluminium demand and supply on global climate change up to 2050, Environmental Research, vol. 181, p. 108-964, févr. 2020,

FIT, ITF Transport Outlook 2019, Éditions OCDE, Paris, 2019,

Geldron A., L’épuisement des minéraux : faut-il s’inquiéter ?, fiche technique de l’ADEME, juin 2017.

IEA,World Energy Outlook 2019, IEA, Paris, 2019,

McKinsey Global Institute, Global Energy Perspectives 2019, Janvier 2019,

Nuclear Energy Agency et International Atomic Energy Agency, Uranium 2020: Resources, Production and Demand, Nuclear Energy Agency and International Atomic Energy Agency, 2020,

OCDE, Introduction of Thorium in the Nuclear Fuel Cycle, Nuclear Science, Éditions OCDE, Paris, 2015,

Schipper B. W., Lin H.-C., Meloni M.A., Wansleeben K., Heijungs R., et van der Voet E., Estimating global copper demand until 2100 with regression and stock dynamics, Resources, Conservation and Recycling, vol. 132, p. 28‑36, mai 2018,

U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries, USGS, janv. 2021,

Watari T., Nansai K., et Nakajima K., Major metals demand, supply, and environmental impacts to 2100: A critical review, Resources, Conservation and Recycling, vol. 164, p. 105-107, janv. 2021,

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UN CLIMAT SOUS SURVEILLANCE

CLIMATE UNDER SURVEILLANCE / UN CLIMA BAJO VIGILANCIA

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Bastin J-F et al., Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues, PLoS ONE, vol. 14, no 7, juil. 2019,

Friedlingstein P. et al., Global Carbon Budget 2019, Earth System Science Data, vol. 11, no 4, p. 1783‑1838, déc. 2019,

Hartmann, D.L., A.M.G. Klein Tank, M. Rusticucci, L. Alexander, S. Brönnimann, Y. Charabi, F. Dentener, E. Dlugokencky, D. Easterling, A. Kaplan, B. Soden, P. Thorne, M. Wild and P.M. Zhai, Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Supplementary Material, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution du Groupe de travail I au cinquième rapport du GIEC ou Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),

IPCC, IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, 2019,

Schirpke U., Tscholl S., et Tasser E., Spatio-temporal changes in ecosystem service values: Effects of land-use changes from past to future (1860–2100), Journal of Environmental Management, vol. 272, oct. 2020,

Strapasson A., Woods J., Pérez-Cirera V., Elizondo A., Cruz-Cano D., Pestiaux J., Cornet M., et Chaturvedi R., Modelling Carbon Mitigation Pathways by 2050: Insights from the Global Calculator, Energy Strategy Reviews, vol. 29, mai 2020,

Maya Guéguen & Wilfried Thuiller, Univ. Grenoble Alpes – CNRS ; Thuiller, W., Guéguen, M., Renaud, J., Karger, D.N., & Zimmermann, N.E. (2019) Uncertainty in ensembles of global biodiversity scenariosNature Communications.10:(1)1446.

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